Category Archives: Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 Watch List stocks for November 2021. Continue reading →

Below are the Nasdaq 100 Watch List stocks for April 2019.

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Below are the Nasdaq 100 Watch List stocks for October 2018. Continue reading →

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the Nasdaq 100 watch list from January 25, 2017 compared to the analyst estimates for the respective stocks.

Although we expect that the analysts will miscalculate which stocks will do the best, it is necessary to actually see how the stocks did in comparison.  We’re not seeking an exact match in the performance expectations, just that the general trend was correct. 

For example, the analysts got the expectations of Gilead (GILD) and Mylan (MYL) generally corrects.  However, the analysts projected equivalent gains that did not exceed that of the Nasdaq 100 index at +34.90%.  Likewise, the analysts projected a significant loss for Vodafone (VOD) while the stock was among the top performers on the list.

Looking at the performance from the following respective categories helps to narrow down the best strategy to apply when we don’t know which stocks to select.  Below is the performance based on the top three stocks in the respective categories:

None of the listed categories managed to beat the Nasdaq 100 index (NDX) in the last year.  However, there is still a lot to learn from the ranking of performance.  As with our Dogs of the Dow studies, the conventional wisdom keeps getting overturned with the low p/e and low p/b stocks underperforming the high p/e and high p/b stocks.  We believe that there is a perfect explanation for this as we have outlined in our recent studies posted on our site.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List January 2018

Performance Review

This is the performance from the October 1, 2016 Nasdaq 100 Watch List:

The entire watch list average a gain of +2.43% compared to the analyst estimate of +8.70%.  The watch list categories had the following performance:

The performance in the last year was horrendous for the expectations that we set on the Nasdaq watch list.  Compared to the Nasdaq 100 gain of +27% the above watch list gained a meager +2.43%.  Adding insult to injury was the section labeled “Sell the Principal” where stocks that seemed to have excessive gains were thought by us to have warranted selling the principal.

Massive gains in the five listed stocks averaged a gain of +73.74% in the last year.  That leaves little to debate in terms of the success or failure to the idea of selling the principal.