Category Archives: SPLS

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: August 28, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the companies that appeared on our August 26, 2014 watch list.

symbol Name 2014 2015 % chg
MAT Mattel, Inc. 34.66 23.2 -33.06%
CA CA Technologies, Inc. 28.31 27.26 -3.71%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 11.06 13.75 24.32%
WFM Whole Foods Market, Inc. 38.495 32.85 -14.66%
XLNX Xilinx Inc. 41.78 42.27 1.17%
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. 102.5 61.6 -39.90%
FAST Fastenal Company 45.73 38.69 -15.39%
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 53.51 76.73 43.39%
EXPD Expeditors Intl of Wash 41.64 49.66 19.26%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 119.06 142 19.27%

The list of stocks achieved an average gain of +0.07% compared to the Nasdaq 100 gain of +6.28%.

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This watch list achieved exceptional performance based on the analyst estimates as six of the ten stocks exceeded analyst expectations (MAT, WFM, DLTR, EXPD, SPLS, SRCL).

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 stocks worth your consideration along with the analyst estimates of price change for the coming year.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: March 27, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the nine stocks from our March 14, 2014 Nasdaq 100 watch list compared to the performance of the Nasdaq 100 Index gain of +20.50% over the last year.

symbol Name 2014 2015 % chg
CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions 50.25 63 25.37%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide Inc. 51.14 73.03 42.80%
SYMC Symantec Corporation 20.16 23.35 15.82%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 11.3 16.11 42.57%
CTRX Catamaran Corporation 45.87 48.32 5.34%
MAT Mattel, Inc. 37.28 22.61 -39.35%
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. 21.35 27.13 27.07%
average 17.09%

The listed stocks only averaged gains of +17.09% in the last year.  However, the top five stocks averaged gains of +26.38%.  The two top performing stocks, CH Robinson Worldwide and Staples, were highlighted as being of interest to as the time (we bought shares of CHRW).  Of CHRW, we said the following:

“According to Edson Gould’s Altimeter, Robinson Worldwide is trading at an equivalent price to the 2009 low.”

The Altimeter appeared to reflect the fact that the stock was reasonably valued.  CHRW was up as much as +50% in the last year.

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Regarding Staples (SPLS), we said:

“After bottoming in the last half of 2012, Staples increased by +52% before collapsing to the current level.  Dow Theory suggests that this is a classic retest of the prior lows.”

Since the March 2014 posting, Staples (SPLS) has increased as much as +68%.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: February 6, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the six stocks from the February 21, 2014 Nasdaq 100 watch list compared to the Nasdaq 100 Index gain of +15.46%.

Symbol

Name

2014 2015 change
SYMC Symantec Corporation $20.53 $24.77 20.65%
MAT Mattel, Inc. $35.55 $28.22 -20.62%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide $54.12 $70.51 30.28%
FAST Fastenal Company $45.61 $42.33 -7.19%
SPLS Staples, Inc. $13.09 $16.57 26.59%
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. $22.13 $27.24 23.09%

The average gain for all of the stocks was +12.13%.  Symantec (SYMC) was the stock of interest at the time.  Our thoughts on SYMC were, “…we don’t see why the stock couldn’t decline a bit further until April or May.” In fact, SYMC declined as low as $17.95, a drop of –12.57%.  However, the final low occurred in late March instead of the April/May projection.

At the time of the posting from last year, we outlined the analyst estimated price change for six stocks on our watch list.  The projections were as follows:

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The actual performance after one year is displayed below.

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On the whole, it appears that the analysts were correct about the overall trend for the stocks on our watch list.  two of three were (MAT, CHRW and FAST) were expected to be a mixed bag while three of three (CSCO, SYMC and SPLS) were expected to have price increases.

February 6, 2015 Watch List

Below are the 14 Nasdaq 100 companies that are on our radar.  As readers know, we have recently  taken a sizable position in one of the stocks on this list.