Category Archives: FAST

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: August 28, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the companies that appeared on our August 26, 2014 watch list.

symbol Name 2014 2015 % chg
MAT Mattel, Inc. 34.66 23.2 -33.06%
CA CA Technologies, Inc. 28.31 27.26 -3.71%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 11.06 13.75 24.32%
WFM Whole Foods Market, Inc. 38.495 32.85 -14.66%
XLNX Xilinx Inc. 41.78 42.27 1.17%
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. 102.5 61.6 -39.90%
FAST Fastenal Company 45.73 38.69 -15.39%
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 53.51 76.73 43.39%
EXPD Expeditors Intl of Wash 41.64 49.66 19.26%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 119.06 142 19.27%

The list of stocks achieved an average gain of +0.07% compared to the Nasdaq 100 gain of +6.28%.

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This watch list achieved exceptional performance based on the analyst estimates as six of the ten stocks exceeded analyst expectations (MAT, WFM, DLTR, EXPD, SPLS, SRCL).

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 stocks worth your consideration along with the analyst estimates of price change for the coming year.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: February 6, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the six stocks from the February 21, 2014 Nasdaq 100 watch list compared to the Nasdaq 100 Index gain of +15.46%.

Symbol

Name

2014 2015 change
SYMC Symantec Corporation $20.53 $24.77 20.65%
MAT Mattel, Inc. $35.55 $28.22 -20.62%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide $54.12 $70.51 30.28%
FAST Fastenal Company $45.61 $42.33 -7.19%
SPLS Staples, Inc. $13.09 $16.57 26.59%
CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc. $22.13 $27.24 23.09%

The average gain for all of the stocks was +12.13%.  Symantec (SYMC) was the stock of interest at the time.  Our thoughts on SYMC were, “…we don’t see why the stock couldn’t decline a bit further until April or May.” In fact, SYMC declined as low as $17.95, a drop of –12.57%.  However, the final low occurred in late March instead of the April/May projection.

At the time of the posting from last year, we outlined the analyst estimated price change for six stocks on our watch list.  The projections were as follows:

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The actual performance after one year is displayed below.

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On the whole, it appears that the analysts were correct about the overall trend for the stocks on our watch list.  two of three were (MAT, CHRW and FAST) were expected to be a mixed bag while three of three (CSCO, SYMC and SPLS) were expected to have price increases.

February 6, 2015 Watch List

Below are the 14 Nasdaq 100 companies that are on our radar.  As readers know, we have recently  taken a sizable position in one of the stocks on this list.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: January 9, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the seven stocks from the January 10, 2014 Nasdaq 100 watch list compared to the performance of the Nasdaq 100 Index in the last year.

Symbol Name 2014 2015 % change
ALTR Altera Corp. 31.47 36.96 17.45%
SHLD Sears Holdings 36.71 34.3 -6.56%
GOLD Randgold Resources 61.57 74.91 21.67%
MXIM Maxim Integrated Products 28.15 32.99 17.19%
CHRW CH Robinson Worldwide 57.7 72.06 24.89%
EBAY eBay Inc. 52.16 55.63 6.65%
FAST Fastenal Company 47.7 45.99 -3.58%
  Average change 11.10%
         
  Nasdaq 100     18.18%

As a group, the stocks on our list underperformed the Nasdaq 100 by a wide margin. The first five stocks on our list averaged a gain of +14.92%.  Two stocks that we took positions in at the time were Altera (ALTR) and Randgold (GOLD).

Analyst Review

The chart below is what the analysts suggested the stocks would do…

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…This is the graphical representation of what actually happened.

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The observation of the data should be clear, the analysts expected declines for the coming year and the opposite occurred.  The projections were that Randgold (GOLD) would decline by nearly –50% and the stock increased by +21.67%.  From our perspective, the analysts provide a reasonable sound board for what to anticipate, as has been demonstrated with our Canadian and U.S. Watch Lists.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: January 9, 2015

Below are the nine Nasdaq 100 companies that are on our radar.