Category Archives: CA

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: August 28, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the companies that appeared on our August 26, 2014 watch list.

symbol Name 2014 2015 % chg
MAT Mattel, Inc. 34.66 23.2 -33.06%
CA CA Technologies, Inc. 28.31 27.26 -3.71%
SPLS Staples, Inc. 11.06 13.75 24.32%
WFM Whole Foods Market, Inc. 38.495 32.85 -14.66%
XLNX Xilinx Inc. 41.78 42.27 1.17%
FOSL Fossil Group, Inc. 102.5 61.6 -39.90%
FAST Fastenal Company 45.73 38.69 -15.39%
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. 53.51 76.73 43.39%
EXPD Expeditors Intl of Wash 41.64 49.66 19.26%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 119.06 142 19.27%

The list of stocks achieved an average gain of +0.07% compared to the Nasdaq 100 gain of +6.28%.

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This watch list achieved exceptional performance based on the analyst estimates as six of the ten stocks exceeded analyst expectations (MAT, WFM, DLTR, EXPD, SPLS, SRCL).

Nasdaq 100 Watch List

Below are the Nasdaq 100 stocks worth your consideration along with the analyst estimates of price change for the coming year.

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: May 8, 2015

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the Nasdaq 100 watch list from May 9, 2014:

Symbol Name 2014 2015 % change
DISCA Discovery Comm. 37.33 31.33 -16.07%
BBBY Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. 61.31 71.44 16.52%
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. 353.06 494.32 40.01%
NTAP NetApp, Inc. 34.19 35.65 4.27%
EBAY eBay Inc. 50.54 58.82 16.38%
ALTR Altera Corp. 32.38 44.46 37.31%
WFM Whole Foods Market, Inc. 39.32 42.58 8.29%
SIRI Sirius XM Holdings Inc. 3.16 3.87 22.47%
VRSK Verisk Analytics, Inc. 60.53 73.66 21.69%
COST Costco Wholesale 115.39 145.88 26.42%
LMCA Liberty Media Corp. 34.18 37.93 10.97%
SRCL Stericycle, Inc. 113.90 134.01 17.66%
CERN Cerner Corporation 50.19 68.02 35.53%
CA CA Technologies 29.41 31.60 7.45%

The average gain of the entire list was +17.78% while the top five stocks (DISCA, BBBY, ISRG, NTAP, EBAY) gained an average of +12.22%.  This compares with the gain for the Nasdaq 100 index of +23.41% in the same 1-year time period.

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As has frequently been the case, analyst expectations were too optimistic for stocks on the far right (DISCA, CA, CERN, SIRI, NTAP) where the average gains of +10.73%.  Likewise, the view was too pessimistic for stocks on the far left (LMCA, ISRG, WFM, COST, BBBY) which averaged +20.44% in the above chart.

The absolute change in Liberty Media (LMCA) and Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) was the most extreme.  Liberty Media saw its p/e ratio expand from 20 to 72 while ISRG’s p/e ratio increased from 26 to 39.  The increase in the p/e ratio should be expected with the increase in price.  However, value oriented investors would have overlooked these stocks simply because of the high p/e ratios and the expectation of lower earnings by analysts in 2014.

Watch List: May 8, 2015

Below are the Nasdaq 100 stocks of interest:

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