Hormel Foods 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Hormel Foods Corp. (HRL) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Molson Coors Beverage Co. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Molson Coors Beverage Co. (TAP) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

2020 Year to Date Investment Returns

Below is a chart of investment returns for various instruments as published by Business Insider.  This includes the top three low yield stocks of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

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Gold Stock Index Upside Resistance Targets

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Commodity Index: Upside Resistance Targets

Below is the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) from December 2015 to November 2020.

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In the work that follows, we provide an updated view on the upside targets for the index. Continue reading

Becton, Dickinson 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Becton, Dickinson and Co. (BDX) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

McCormick & Co. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for McCormick & Co. (MKC) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

YoY: Intel Corp.

Below is a chart of Intel Corp. (INTC) from 1981 to 2020 reflecting the year-over-year (YoY) percentage change.

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Nifty 50 – Coppock Analysis

Recently, we’ve seen some success applying the Coppock curve or indicator to individual companies. Could we scale this to an emerging market such as Nifty 50, a benchmark Indian stock market index? Running the data through this model reveals some exciting findings, so let’s dive into it.

The assumption we are working with is purchasing the Nifty 50 (^NSEI) when the Coppock issues a buy signal. The target holding periods are 1-3 years. Below are summary table showing important statistics such as success rate, largest loss or risk, average gain, and annualized return. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: November 13, 2020

In reviewing last year’s list, we see that the best strategy was the high P/B category which returned +5.90%, although the market propelled higher by +14.90%.

The largest gain was driven by Clorox (CLX) which, at the time, was trading at a staggering 33x of its book value. Now compare that with American National Insurance (ANAT) which was trading at 0.55x book value. The stock fell -31%.

On average, 3 stocks trading below book value lost -20% of its value in one year. This is the observation we see and simply reporting on the data. The table is a summary table for various strategies.

November 15, 2019
Strategy High Low
Yield -23.6% 4.7%
P/E 1.1% -30.9%
Payout
Ratio
-3.4% -21.7%
P/B 5.9% -28.8%
Closest
to Low
3.4%
S&P
500
14.9%
Dow
Jones Ind
5.3%
Top 5 companies except for Index

Again, we continue to see the traditional value approach underperform.

U.S. Dividend Watch List: November 13, 2020

We saw another all-time high for the market this week. If the Dow Industrial and S&P 500 can consolidate and hold this level, it will be very bullish. This strong market is the reason why there are only 4 companies on our list. Continue reading

Income Bellwethers: December 2019 Issue

In the December 2019 Issue, Morningstar.com published their DividendInvestor which contains their Income Bellwether Watchlist.  Below is the performance* of the stocks based on the top highest and lowest dividend yield from November 11, 2019 to November 11, 2020.

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As the data continues to demonstrate, low yield generally outperforms high yield.  This has been resoundingly shown in our Dogs of the Dow in the period from 1996 to 2019.

*United Technologies was excluded from the results.

see also:

2020 YTD Investment Returns

Below is a chart of investment returns for various instruments as published by Business Insider.  This includes our own high P/E Dogs of the Toronto Stock Exchange 60.

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see also:

TSX 60 in Review: Week 48

The following is the breakdown of the Dogs of the TSX (here) in week 48, compared to other fundamental ratios. Continue reading

YoY: HDFC Bank Limited

Below is a chart of HDFC Bank Limited from 2001 to 2020 reflecting the year-over-year (YoY) percentage change.  This assessment reviews the probability of performance in the coming year(s).

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ICICI Bank Limited

Below is a chart of ICICI Bank Limited from 2001 to 2020 reflecting the year-over-year (YoY) percentage change.  This assessment reviews the probability of performance in the coming year(s).

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