Category Archives: NLO Dividend Watch List

U.S. Dividend Watch List: January 19, 2024

The market picked up steam this week as the S&P 500 rose to its all-time high and push YTD gain to 2%. We will keep an eye out for Nasdaq to see if it can achieve all-time high level of 16,000. Despite strong up swing, there are more companies showing up on our watch list. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: January 5, 2024

We started 2024 on a downbeat for the market as the S&P was lowered by nearly 2% for the week. Nasdaq slid nearly 4%. On the larger scale, we are near all-time high territory so a pull back should be expected. As a by product of that pull back, our watch list contains more companies this week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: December 22, 2023

December has been a strong month thus far and this Santa Claus rally could push the market to all-time high by end of 2023. This rally pushed many companies our of our range for the watch list. As a result, the number of companies reduced dramatically from a month ago. Below is the last dividend watch list for the year. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: November 24, 2023

It has been a strong November for the market as major indexes rebounded toward year end. S&P 500 is approaching 4,600 level and up nearly 20% for the year. Nasdaq rose 37% YTD. The weakest area is small cap with Russell 2000 up only 3%. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: October 27, 2023

It was a tough week for the market as the market continue to give back gains for the year. The S&P 500 was down 2.4% for the week. The number of companies on our watch list continue to grow and you will find many Aristocrats that is trading near historical valuation metrics like P/E or P/B. Below is the watch list for week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: September 15, 2023

The market pulled back a bit this week with S&P 500 falling 0.5% while the Nasdaq dropped nearly 1%. A retest of recent low at 4,370 on the S&P will be a crucial point. With 3 months T-bill sitting at 5.56%, the risk free return is putting tremendous pressure on equity. Our dividend watch list contain large number of companies with range of dividend yield and payout ratio to focus on. Below is the dividend watch list for the week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: September 1, 2023

The market rebounded this week risking nearly 2% for the week. YTD, the S&P 500 is up 18% and the Nasdaq is up 35%. Since 1985, the Nasdaq ended the year higher at 35% or higher 7 times (18% of the time). Will have to wait and see how 2023 will end. Below is the dividend watch list for the week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: May 19, 2023

The market rose nearly 2% this week and pushed the YTD performance to 9.6%. Some of the headwinds are debt ceiling and inflation concern. Despite that, we continue to see this market continue to be push forward and upward. At the end of the week, we have nearly 100 companies on our dividend watch list. Below is the watch list for the week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: November 25, 2022

The market continued to move upward as the Dow Industrial has risen almost 20% from the low seen in early November. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: March 25, 2022

Market rebounded this week rising nearly 2%. That being said, there are a lot of companies to choose from. Of 86 companies on our list, 49 of them are current Dividend Achiever (green) and 12 or Dividend Aristocrats (blue). Below is the watch list for this week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: March 4, 2022

The market lost another 0.5% this week as market internal deteriorate. We touched on this briefly in this post. Our team continue to hold significant amount of cash at this level and will deploy as opportunities arise. More companies are popping up in our watch list now and long-term investor should see this as a welcoming sign. Below is the dividend watch list for the week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: November 12, 2021

We saw major indexes reach all-time high prior week which drive our NLO indicator ever slightly higher. The bullish trend remain even after slight pull back later in the week. Below are companies on our watch list for this week. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: October 29, 2021

The market had a tremendous run this past year. Year-over-year, the S&P rose 40% with some corrections along the way. Our watch list from prior year also had an outstanding outcome. Low P/E strategy shot up 200% driven mainly by an acquisition of Meredith (MDP) by IAC’s Dotdash. MDP gained 421% in one year. Another name that helped propelled the Low P/E and Low P/B strategy was State Auto Financial (STFC) which rose 316% in a year after Liberty Mutual agree to acquire the company.

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U.S. Dividend Watch List: October 29, 2021

The Dow Jones Industrial, S&P 500, and Nasdaq closed the week at all-time high. As bullish indicator, Dow Jones Transport is a fraction of percentage from its all-time high as well and setting up for Dow Theory up trend confirmation. Below is a watch list containing companies to watch. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: June 25, 2021

The S&P 500 ended the week at all-time highs and the Nasdaq reached its all-time high on Thursday. However, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Transports are lagging and have not exceed their peak. Despite the overall strong market, we believe there are pocket of opportunity in our Dividend Watch list below. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: August 28, 2020

We begin by reviewing the performance of last year’s list. The table below highlight various fundamental strategies and their performance using the top 5 companies.

Focusing on the worse performing group, high yield, we see that 5 highest yielding companies lost nearly half of their value. The largest drop of 78% was Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP). At the time of write up, Alliance was trading at $15.47 with dividend yield 14%, figure that appears too good to be true. The stock is now trading around $3.50.

Invesco (IVZ) was trading at $24.10 in 2018 and $15.70 in 2019. Dividend yield in 2019 was at 7.9%, however, that yield didn’t last as Invesco cut its dividend by half. Now the stock is around $10.75 and dipped as low as $6.38 in March of this year. The observation (and perhaps lesson) is to not chase the highest yield as that could be very costly to your portfolio.

On the opposite end of this strategy are low yielding stocks which gained 16.6% for the year. Leading the way for this strategy was Rollins (ROL) with yield of 1.3% at the time of publication. This yield isn’t anything to get excited about but a gain of 68% in one year certainly is.

Second on the performance list is Quaker Chemical (KWR) with yield of 0.9% last year. The stock gained 23% in one year.

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If this appears to be counter intuitive to you, then it should. As value investors, we're taught to focus on low P/E, low P/B, or high yield. Our data indicate the opposite might be worth considering.

U.S. Dividend Watch List: August 28, 2020

The market, S&P 500, broke out to all-time high, leaving us a little excitement. There are a handful of companies on our dividend watch list this week. Continue reading