Kotak Mahindra Bank 10-Year Targets

Below are the price targets for Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited over the next 10 years. Continue reading →

1920-2020: Dow YoY Dividend Change

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1912-1922: Chain Store Earnings During Pandemic

Below are charts of the top four five and dime stores and how they did during the Spanish Flu Pandemic.

Per Share Earnings: 1912-1922

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Year-over-Year Per Share Earnings Percentage Change: 1913-1922

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Coppock Curve: September 2020

Below is the Coppock Curve data for the following indexes:

  • Dow Jones Industrial Average
  • S&P 500
  • Nasdaq Composite
  • Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index
  • Russell 2000
  • Philadelphia Semiconductor Index
  • iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF
  • Toronto Stock Exchange
  • Bitcoin

If you’re interested in a index not listed, let us know.

Continue reading →

HeidelbergCement India 10-Year Targets

Below are the price targets for HeidelbergCement India Limited over the next 10 years. Continue reading →

U.S Dividend Watch List: September 25, 2020

Take a look at the performance of last year’s list. The S&P 500 rose +11.40% and the Dow was up only +1.30%. The best performing strategy was high P/B which gained +30.50%. The largest drop in value, -63.2%, was the high yield. As we’ve documented before in great detail, chasing yield has not worked out well.

September 27, 2019
Strategy High Low
Yield -63.2% -11.3%
P/E 4.4% -51.4%
Payout Ratio -18.4% -29.2%
P/B 30.5% -36.1%
Closest to Low   -13.8%
S&P 500   11.4%
Dow Jones Ind   1.3%
Top 5 companies except for
Index

Under the high P/B strategy, we had LLY, CLX, ROL, MMM, and CHRW. Four companies outperformed the market with ROL rising +60.40% while MMM lost -2.60%. High yield companies were ARLP, OXY, PAA, XOM, and WEYS. Interestingly, the highest yield of 13.5%, ARLP, had the largest drop of -82%.

U.S. Dividend Watch List: September 25, 2020

The recent market pullback is starting to give us hope in our watch list. Our list expanded to 44 companies this week. Continue reading →

Sun Life Financial 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Sun Life Financial (SLF.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading →

Fortis Inc. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Fortis Inc. (FTS.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading →

1970-2019: Debt, Deficit, Gold/S&P 500 Perspective

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Federal Realty Trust 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Federal Realty Trust (FRT) for the next 10 years. Continue reading →

Britannia Industries 10-Year Targets

Below are the price targets for Britannia Industries Ltd. (BRITANNIA.BO) over the next 10 years. Continue reading →

Hingham Institution for Savings 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS) for the next 10 years. Continue reading →

Coppock: Hingham Institution for Savings

Below is the Coppock Curve for Hingham Institution for Savings (HIFS). Continue reading →

TSX 60 in Review: Week 38

The following is the breakdown of the Dogs of the TSX (here) in week 38, compared to other fundamental ratios. Continue reading →

Interest Rate Cycle Comparison

1940-2020: The Full Interest Rate Cycle

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Reasonable assumption on interest rates should be done based on relative or comparable starting points.  With interest rates at secular lows, we should only compare rate activity from the 1940 to 1980 period which was a secular rising trend while avoid comparing rate activity to the 1980 to 2008 period.

Fastest Rate Increase, From the Low

Below we compare the rate increase of the 3-Month Treasury from the secular low in 1940 at 0.01% to the rate increases from the 2011 low at 0.01%.

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From the level of 0.01% to 2.39%, the rate of increase was exaggerated for the period from 2011 to 2019 compared to the period of 1940 to 1956.  The currently level of volatility is not unexpected for the early phase of the secular rising rate trend.