Below are the valuation targets for A.O. Smith (AOS) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
- Japan
- Market Indicator
- Price Momentum Indicators
- Richard Russell
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- Speed Resistance Lines
- U.S. Dividend Watch List
Target Corp. 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for Target Corp. (TGT) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
ABM Industries 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for ABM Industries Inc. (ABM) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
Martin Marietta Materials 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
Investors Title Cyclical Trends
Illiquid as the stock is, we outline the cyclical trends in Investors Title Company (ITIC) from 1986 to the present. The fundamentals are exceptional for Investors Title however, the technicals are needed to temper excessive enthusiasm. Continue reading
3M 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for 3M Company (MMM) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
3M Achieves Extreme Downside Target
On October 18, 2018, we posted 10-Year price targets for 3M (MMM) when the stock was trading at $196.80. At the time, we had estimated 2020 extreme undervalued $141.18.
Since October 18, 2018, 3M has had a closing low of $117.87 on March 23, 2020.
see also: All 10-Year Targets
Posted in MMM, Target Achieved
Starbuck’s 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for Starbucks Corp. (SBUX) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
Tanger Factory Outlet Q1 2020 Chart
Industry representatives say that steadiness of FFO is more reflective of a REIT’s health. For the purposes of determining the future direction of the stock price, we prefer the wide variability of the net income figure. (data source)
see also:
Simon Property Group Q1 2020 Chart
Industry representatives say that steadiness of FFO is more reflective of a REIT’s health. For the purposes of determining the future direction of the stock price, we prefer the wide variability of the net income figure. (data source)
see also:
Toro Co. 10-Year Targets
Below are the valuation targets for The Toro Company (TTC) for the next 10 years. Continue reading
U.S. Dividend Watch List: May 8, 2020
Prior Year Watch List Review (May 10, 2019)
The best performing strategy from last year was low yield. While the S&P 500 rose +1.70%, the Dow lost -6.20%. Companies with low yield such as Rollins (ROL) and Becton Dickinson (BDX) rose +16% and +13%, respectively.
Interestingly, the high yield strategy would have set you back -41% with the majority of the losses driven from Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Gap (GPS) which lost -73% and -67%, respectively.
| May 10, 2019 | ||
| Strategy | High | Low |
| Yield | -41.0% | -5.2% |
| P/E | -7.9% | -25.0% |
| Payout Ratio | -14.9% | -18.8% |
| P/B | -7.7% | -30.5% |
| Closest to Low | -40.5% | |
| S&P 500 | 1.7% | |
| Dow Jones Ind | -6.2% | |
| Top 5 companies except for Index | ||
U.S. Dividend Watch List May 8, 2020
What a strange time we are living in. The unemployment rate skyrocketed to level no one had seen before.
Meanwhile, the market continued to crawl its way back, with the major indexes such as the S&P 500 hitting positive territory since last year. It’s difficult to determine if this rebound is for real but we continued to ask the question, is this situation more dire than the financial crisis where the market fell more than -50%?
Below are 10 companies on our watch list. Continue reading
Posted in Dividend Achiever Watch List, Dividend Achievers, Dividend Watch List
Tagged members
Federal Realty Q1 2020 Chart
Industry representatives say that steadiness of FFO is more reflective of a REIT’s health. For the purposes of determining the future direction of the stock price, we prefer the wide variability of the net income figure. (data source)
EPR Properties Data
Below is the Year-over-Year quarterly change in data for EPR Properties (EPR) from 2016 to 2020.
The trend appears clear. The only question is whether the peak in the price in 2016 is reflected in the peak in revenue and FFO in 2018.
What If: Texas Pacific Land Trust
What if Texas Pacific Land Trust (TPL) were to retain a dividend policy that was in place from 1982 to 2016?
This means that we took the dividend in 1982 and 2016, determined the compounded annual growth rate and applied it to Edson Gould’s Altimeter until 2020. The outcome provides an alternative view to our prior work on the downside risk to TPL and supports the claim by a commenter on SeekingAlpha.com that TPL could decline to approximately $25.
1982 to 2013
2009 to 2020
How We Did it
- Obtained the dividend and price data from Yahoo!Finance.
- Deleted dividend payments that were inconsistent (i.e. extra/special payments).
- Calculated CAGR at MoneyChimp.com in the period from 1982 to 2016.
- Applied CAGR of TPL to Gould’s Altimeter.
see also: All Prior reviews on TPL
Posted in downside, risk, Texas Pacific Land, TPL