As early as February 2015, when the stock price of Lumber Liquidator (LL) was trading at $50, we had indicated that there was a risk that Lumber Liquidator could decline below $23.47. Since that time, LL had declined as low as $11.
In March 2015, we outlined our own theory of a coincidence indicator that would help investors know when the price of LL should recover. Since that time, LL has fallen in line with our theory and has subsequently increased in price along with our proposed coincidence indicator.
From the low in LL stock price in 2016, we have seen the stock price climb as much as +200%. The actual gain based on our recommended purchase price would be approximately +16% (8% annualized) assuming equal share amounts at/or below the recommended levels.
So what does the coincidence indicator say about LL and the prospects going forward? The chart below is clear on this matter: