We've decided to make a slight modification to our criteria for the Dividend Achiever watch list. Over the past several weeks, the number of companies on our watch list has been exploding. As we explore the alternative field of investment, we thought that if there are adequate companies in the 10% range then we could use that as our criteria. Therefore, this week's list (and going forward) will contain Dividend Achievers that are within 10% of the 52-week low. If this list shirks to a certain size, we'll broaden our range to 20% as usual.
At the end of the week, our watch list contracted to 41 companies. Here is the
watch list which ranks current and former Dividend Achievers that are within 10% of the 52-week low for June 25, 2010. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and extensive due diligence.
| Symbol |
Name |
Price |
% Yr Low |
P/E |
EPS (ttm) |
Div/Shr |
Yield |
Payout Ratio |
| WAG |
Walgreen Co. |
26.93 |
0.00% |
12.64 |
2.13 |
0.55 |
2.04% |
26% |
| MON |
Monsanto Co. |
48.27 |
0.23% |
20.11 |
2.40 |
1.06 |
2.20% |
44% |
| SVU |
SUPERVALU INC |
12.00 |
0.59% |
6.49 |
1.85 |
0.35 |
2.92% |
19% |
| XOM |
Exxon Mobil Corp. |
59.10 |
1.09% |
13.46 |
4.39 |
1.76 |
2.98% |
40% |
| HSC |
Harsco Corp. |
25.05 |
1.58% |
18.69 |
1.34 |
0.82 |
3.27% |
61% |
| UMBF |
UMB Financial Corp. |
36.73 |
1.72% |
15.97 |
2.30 |
0.74 |
2.01% |
32% |
| DNB |
Dun & Bradstreet Corp. |
70.48 |
2.00% |
14.12 |
4.99 |
1.40 |
1.99% |
28% |
| FII |
Federated Investors Inc |
21.32 |
2.40% |
10.88 |
1.96 |
0.96 |
4.50% |
49% |
| WMT |
Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. |
48.80 |
3.06% |
12.81 |
3.81 |
1.21 |
2.48% |
32% |
| FFIN |
First Financial Bankshares, Inc. |
49.55 |
3.53% |
19.21 |
2.58 |
1.36 |
2.74% |
53% |
| NTRS |
Northern Trust Corp. |
48.44 |
3.68% |
15.23 |
3.18 |
1.12 |
2.31% |
35% |
| PFE |
Pfizer Inc |
14.64 |
3.76% |
13.56 |
1.08 |
0.72 |
4.92% |
67% |
| FRS |
Frisch's Restaurants, Inc |
20.70 |
3.97% |
10.45 |
1.98 |
0.52 |
2.51% |
26% |
| HRB |
H&R Block, Inc. |
15.55 |
4.50% |
10.58 |
1.47 |
0.60 |
3.86% |
41% |
| CRRC |
Courier Corp. |
12.74 |
5.29% |
13.13 |
0.97 |
0.84 |
6.59% |
87% |
| MATW |
Matthews International Corp. |
29.53 |
5.46% |
14.27 |
2.07 |
0.28 |
0.95% |
14% |
| UFPI |
Universal Forest Products, Inc. |
31.90 |
5.49% |
23.63 |
1.35 |
0.40 |
1.25% |
30% |
| NJR |
New Jersey Resources Corp. |
35.45 |
5.85% |
16.04 |
2.21 |
1.36 |
3.84% |
62% |
| VIVO |
Meridian Bioscience Inc. |
16.98 |
5.93% |
21.49 |
0.79 |
0.76 |
4.48% |
96% |
| LLY |
Eli Lilly & Co. |
33.94 |
6.00% |
8.75 |
3.88 |
1.96 |
5.77% |
51% |
| GS* |
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. |
139.66 |
6.37% |
5.82 |
24.01 |
1.40 |
1.00% |
6% |
| JNJ |
Johnson & Johnson |
58.70 |
6.49% |
12.33 |
4.76 |
2.16 |
3.68% |
45% |
| KO |
Coca-Cola Co |
50.26 |
6.53% |
16.53 |
3.04 |
1.76 |
3.50% |
58% |
| CTWS |
Connecticut Water Service, Inc. |
21.37 |
6.85% |
18.11 |
1.18 |
0.91 |
4.26% |
77% |
| T |
AT&T Inc |
24.79 |
6.90% |
12.33 |
2.01 |
1.68 |
6.78% |
84% |
| AROW |
Arrow Financial Corp. |
25.28 |
6.93% |
13.52 |
1.87 |
1.00 |
3.96% |
53% |
| CWT |
California Water Service Group |
36.34 |
7.48% |
18.83 |
1.93 |
1.19 |
3.27% |
62% |
| THFF |
First Financial Corp. Indiana |
27.23 |
7.50% |
14.96 |
1.82 |
0.92 |
3.38% |
51% |
| NWN |
Northwest Natural Gas Co. |
44.22 |
8.30% |
16.44 |
2.69 |
1.66 |
3.75% |
62% |
| ABT |
Abbott Laboratories |
47.19 |
8.61% |
13.84 |
3.41 |
1.76 |
3.73% |
52% |
| ADM |
Archer Daniels Midland Co. |
26.34 |
8.75% |
10.84 |
2.43 |
0.60 |
2.28% |
25% |
| BDX |
Becton, Dickinson and Co. |
69.05 |
8.89% |
13.25 |
5.21 |
1.48 |
2.14% |
28% |
| MDU |
MDU Resources Group Inc. |
18.67 |
9.12% |
13.34 |
1.40 |
0.63 |
3.37% |
45% |
| PGN |
Progress Energy, Inc. |
39.28 |
9.20% |
14.44 |
2.72 |
2.48 |
6.31% |
91% |
| HCC |
HCC Insurance Holdings, Inc. |
25.36 |
9.22% |
8.45 |
3.00 |
0.54 |
2.13% |
18% |
| SFNC |
Simmons First National Corp. |
26.78 |
9.31% |
16.33 |
1.64 |
0.76 |
2.84% |
46% |
| VVC |
Vectren Corp. |
23.78 |
9.79% |
15.64 |
1.52 |
1.36 |
5.72% |
89% |
| AWR |
American States Water Co. |
34.27 |
9.84% |
19.15 |
1.79 |
1.04 |
3.03% |
58% |
| AVP |
Avon Products, Inc. |
27.49 |
9.96% |
21.65 |
1.27 |
0.88 |
3.20% |
69% |
| TMP |
Tompkins Financial Corp. |
38.18 |
10.20% |
12.64 |
3.02 |
1.36 |
3.56% |
45% |
| OMI |
Owens & Minor, Inc. |
28.19 |
10.46% |
14.99 |
1.88 |
0.71 |
2.52% |
38% |
| 41 Companies |
|
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|
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*Goldman Sachs isn't a former or current dividend achiever but we feel that it is worth watching because it's a proxy of our financial system.
Watch List Summary
The best performing stock from last week's list was Shenandoah Telecom (SHEN) which rose 7.9%. The worst performing stock was Walgreen (WAG) which fell 10.5%. Overall, the Dividend Achiever watch list lost 2.4% versus the Dow which was down 2.95%. Because our list has more than a handful of great companies, I urged investors to filter for companies with less than 50% payout ratio. This should minimized the risk of dividend reduction if earnings are to fall by half. If you understand the companies' history and their ability to pay the dividend, payout ratios in excess of 52% may be considered.
With Aaa bond ratings falling to 4.96%, I expected more companies to pass the first criteria of
Graham's stock selection. But nothing has changed materially. Supervalue (SVU), Eli Lilly (LLY), Goldman Sachs (GS), and HCC Insurance Holdings (HCC) are the companies with an earnings yield that exceeds twice the Aaa bond rate and payout ratio less than 50%.
Another company we'd like to highlight is Walgreen (WAG). The recent sell-off brought the yield up to 2.04%. Although that doesn't appear to be like much, WAG highest yield was 2.36% (in 1989). Using current dividend figure and the highest yielding period for WAG, shares would be at $23.30 or 13.5% down from current price. Since the company started paying dividend in 1985, they have increase their payout every year at an annual rate of 12.7%.
Once again, I suggest readers to use the March 2009 low (or companies' most distressed time) as downside projection for investing. Our conservative view is to embrace the worse case scenario prior to investing. March 2009 low fits that description. Although we use the one year (52 weeks) time frame, the past year was nothing but a major bull run and anyone who bought at or near the low could, and should, be taking profits. It is important to place these companies in your own watch list so that when opportunity arises, you can purchase them with a greater margin of safety.
Related Article:
Benjamin Graham's Stock Selection Criteria
Dividend Achiever Watch List
*Goldman Sachs isn't a former or current dividend achiever but I feel that it is worth watching because it could be the proxy of our financial system.
Watch List Summary
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