Author Archives: NLO Team

Nasdaq 100 Watch List: November 1, 2013

Below are the Nasdaq 100 companies that are within 10% of their respective 52-week lows. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and rigorous due diligence.

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Transaction Alert: Bought XEC at the Market

On July 17, 2012, we have bought Cimarex (XEC) at the market.

On June 8, 2012 (found here), we outlined our rational for buying XEC based on having good management and a consistent dividend policy.  Based on the Altimeter, XEC is considered worth purchasing at $72 and below.  At the current price of $56, XEC would have to increase +28% just to get back to the $72 level.

At the quarterly dividend rate of $0.12, we believe that XEC should be sold at a price of $123 or above. This will increase or decrease with the dividend policy.  Based on the previous Altimeter buy indications, investors should expect to hold XEC for 2 to 3 years before the next sell signal.

*NOTE: In our earlier transaction alert for UNM (found here), we indicated that we would allocate 10% of our portfolio to the stock.  Instead, we have reduced the allocation by half, to 5%, and bought XEC with the other 5%.  This allows us to take advantage of two opportunities which we fully expect to add to as the price declines.

Transaction Alert: Buying UNM at the market

On July 17, 2012, we will buy Unum Group (UNM) at the market.

On July 16, 2012, it was announced that Unum Group (UNM) is going to increase the quarterly dividend by +23.5%, from $0.10 to $0.13 (found here).  The increased dividend is payable to shareholders who hold the stock on or before July 26th. This increase of the quarterly dividend has brought UNM below the Altimeter level that would indicate that the stock should be bought.

On June 18, 2012, we pointed out the reasons why we like the dividend policy of UNM (found here).  Also, the Altimeter readings for UNM based on the new dividend indicates that, at the current price, the stock is relatively undervalued.

Those wishing to follow our strategy of buying UNM should understand that the stock is expected to decline from current levels.  This explains why we're only putting 10% of our portfolio into the stock at the present time.  Our goal is to accumulate more shares as the price declines.

At the quarterly dividend rate of $0.13, we believe that UNM should be sold at a price of $40.95 or above. This will increase or decrease with the dividend policy.  Based on the previous Altimeter buy indications, investors should expect to hold UNM for 3 to 6 years before the next sell signal.