Kellogg (K) Observation

Kellogg (K) stock peaked at $72 in July 2020. Since then, the stock has fallen to $57 (-20%) in 2021. The underperformance put the stock on our radar in January 2021 (yellow arrow). Stock has been trading in range since and appears to be breaking out of that range today. Such action is bullish to a technician or chart readers. Fundamentally, the stock is undervalued based on our 10-year target. The two forces, fundamental & technical, appears to be in alignment with one another. It will be good to revisit Kellogg after 6 months or a year to review how this situation turn out.

Kellogg 2021.03.25

Fanuc Corp. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Fanuc Corp. (FANUY) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: March 19, 2021

This week mark a year into COVID-19 pandemic. We saw tremendous drop in equity value followed by extreme rebound. The shift to bear market and shifted back to bull market was likely the fastest one in history. One year ago, our watch list had nearly 200 companies on it. S&P 500 rose 70% in one year and some strategies produced exceptional return far greater than the market. However, this is expected as March 23rd was virtually the bottom of the market. Some companies were trading as if they were going out of business. Below are various strategies performance.

Screenshot 2021-03-21 115358

High yield, low P/E, and low P/B produced exceptional gain due to the risk factor coupled with how low their stock price went. As an example, Lincoln Financial (LNC) went from $65 to $17 (-73%) in one month. Unum (UNM) went from $30 to $10 (-65%) in one month. Bigger drop produced bigger rebound.

U.S. Dividend Watch List: March 19, 2021

We pushed through all-time high on major indexes but they couldn’t follow through on Friday. A consolidation at this level would be healthy for the bull to continue its course. There appears to be a shift from growth to value name. If that’s the fact, we see no better place to start your research than with our watch list which contains blue chip name trading at or near their low. Continue reading

Masco Corp. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Masco Corp. (MAS) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

CMS Energy 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for CMS Energy Corp. (CMS) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Bank of Montreal 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Aliementation Couche-Tard 10-Year Price Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Alimentation Couche-Tard (ATD-B.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Clorox Co. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Clorox Company (CLX) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

General Electric Upside Targets

Review:

  • On January 21 2018, when General Electric (GE) was trading around $16, we said, “the speed at which the current decline is taking place indicates that sentiment will push the stock to the $5.27 price and the elimination from the Dow Jones Industrial Average is eminent.”
  • On May 15, 2020, General Electric (GE) achieved a closing low of $5.49, 4.17% above our estimated downside target.
  • On January 1, 2019, when General Electric was trading around $7.25, we said, “…now is the time to consider the upside resistance targets.  The above chart lays bare the expectations for an upside move.” We also said, “The year 2019 could be forgiving to GE…” This was 12.40% above the December 12, 2018 low.
  • As of March 10, 2021 (intraday) General Electric is +82.75% above our January 1, 2019 indication to look to the upside.

Upside targets:

Below are the upside targets for General Electric.  The price targets indicate a range at which the price is expected to experience resistance before continuing the rising trend or before breaking down to the prior downside target.

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Those willing to accepted the risk of the price declining to the prior low ($5.49) could strategically accumulate shares based on this approach.

American Electric Power 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for American Electric Power (AEP) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Verizon 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Verizon Communications (VZ) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Merck 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Merck (MRK) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

ARK Innovation ETF Downside Targets

Below are the downside targets based on the work of Edson Gould.

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The targets, based on the $156.58 peak, are:

  • $90.73 (conservative target)
  • $71.98 (mid-range target)
  • $53.23 (extreme target)

Northrop Grumman 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Kellogg Co. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Kellogg Company (K) for the next 10 years. Continue reading