Chart of the Day: Guard Dog Inc.

According to Yahoo!Finance, Guard Dog Inc. (GRDO), “…provides identity theft solutions for individuals, groups, and corporations in the United States. The company offers guidelines and tips for safeguarding personal information, and technology to remedy identity breaches.”

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Transaction Alert

The NLO team executed the following transaction(s): Continue reading

3M Co. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for 3M Company (MMM) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

1st Source 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for 1st Source (SRCE) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Chart of the Day: MagneGas Applied Technology Solutions

According to Yahoo!Finance, MagneGas Applied Technology Solutions (MNGA) is, “… an alternative energy company, creates and produces hydrogen based fuel through the gasification of liquid and liquid waste in the United States and internationally. The company offers MagneGas2, a hydrogen-based fuel for metal cutting as an alternative to acetylene.”

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The Study of Failure

“Earlier this month, the Republican presidential nominee said if he were president he would allow domestic steel producers bigger profits, afford them greater protection from foreign competition and stretch out their timetable for meeting federally mandated clean air and water standards. Carter is likely to offer much the same ("President Carter's plan to revive the nation's ailing steel..." UPI Archive: Financial, 29 Sept. 1980. Infotrac Newsstand.).”

More reviews on failed ideas found here.

Chart of the Day: Vivos Inc.

According to Yahoo!Finance, Vivos Inc. is, “…a radiation oncology medical device company, develops brachytherapy devices for the treatment of non-resectable tumors. It focuses on the development of yttrium-90 based RadioGel device, an injectable particle-gel for brachytherapy radiation treatment of cancerous tumors in people; and IsoPet for animals. The company was formerly known as Advanced Medical Isotope Corporation and changed its name to Vivos Inc. in December 2017.”

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Market Verdict on SHLD and JCP? Same Fate

On the day that Sears Holdings (SHLD) officially declared bankruptcy, Bill Friend, VP of Fluent Commerce, came out with a statement saying:

"Sears was raided by hedge fund guys, so they were never going to really recover…J.C. Penney is a different animal in that respect."

The clarity of this statement cannot be emphasized enough.  However, the article that highlighted Friend’s comment from Real Money (TheStreet.com) was titled “J.C. Penney and Sears Aren't Cut From the Same Cloth.”

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What is the best determination of whether JCP is cut from the same cloth as SHLD?  We look at the comparison of the two stocks since the peak of the market in 2007 to the intraday price on October 16, 2018.

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With a loss of –99.99% for SHLD and –97.73% for JCP, a reasonable person would get the impression that both SHLD and JCP are cut from the exact same cloth.  At least that is what the market price has said so far.

W.W. Grainger Update

On September 19, 2018, we said that W.W. Grainger (GWW) had downside targets of $295.55, $209.30, & $123.05.  By October 16, 2018, GWW had smashed through the conservative downside target of $295.55.

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While the Speed Resistance Lines (SRL) are guides for downside risk, the Altimeter continues to provide the needed insight on where we are with GWW on a valuation basis. Continue reading

Cardinal Health 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Cardinal Health (CAH) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

U.S. Dividend Watch List: Top 5 by Ratios

Below is the breakdown of top 5 stocks from our October 12, 2018 list based on the fundamental ratios that we track. Continue reading

Matthews International 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Matthews International (MATW) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Hang Seng Index: Cyclical Trends

Below is a chart of the Hang Seng Index (HSI) from 1986 to 2018.

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In the charts that follow, we break down the percentage change in each cyclical rise and decline of the HSI. Continue reading

Insurance Watch List: October 2018

Below are the Insurance Watch List stocks for October 2018. Continue reading

U.S Dividend Watch List: October 12, 2018

What a week that was with both the Dow and S&P losing nearly -4%. From the peak of 2,940 on the S&P, the market fell -6% but that was less than the pullback we saw at the beginning of the year when S&P fell a little over -10% with similar duration.

While similar, there is one major difference between the two and that is interest rates. The 10-Year T-bill rate rose 18% since the end of January. Our followers will know that we will utilize Dow Theory as a gauge for market direction. Until a change of market direction is upon us, we will utilize the watch list below as a starting point to find investment opportunities. Continue reading

Chart of the Day: Sears, Just Like Apple

There was a time when the Chairman and CEO of Sears Holdings (SHLD) said the following:

“At Sears Holdings, we seek to create long-term value for our shareholders. Like Apple, we seek to do so by improving our operating performance, innovating, and delighting customers.”

-Eddie Lampert, Chairman of the Board. Sears Holdings February 24, 2011. link.

Since February 24, 2011, when Sears Holdings (SHLD) was trading at $62.19, the stock price has declined to the present value of $0.34 or a loss a lot of money.

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