This market continue to press forward and pushing the upper limit. It is fascinating to review the last year list to see what strategy did well and which one did not. The table below highlights the returns based on the top 5 companies under various fundamental metrics.
| January 24, 2020 |
| Strategy |
High |
Low |
| Yield |
-18.7% |
6.9% |
| Payout Ratio |
-11.2% |
14.4% |
| P/E |
-2.2% |
9.5% |
| P/B |
4.6% |
-5.6% |
| S&P 500 |
|
16.6% |
| Dow Jones Ind |
|
0.2% |
Top 5 companies except for
Index |
As expected, the S&P 500 did well rising 16.6% which one could argue is above the average long term rate of equity at 10%. Keeping pace with the market was low payout ratio which gained an average of 14.4%. The best return came from Evercore (EVR), a financial services company, whose stock rose 53.5% despite a drop of 53% at the bottom in March. Another company that stock rose 26.1% was Expeditors International (EXPD), a logistic company.
| Date |
Symbol |
Payout Ratio |
% Change |
| 1/24/2020 |
COLM |
20.04% |
-1.17% |
|
ANAT |
26.58% |
-15.56% |
|
NUE |
27.47% |
8.84% |
|
EXPD |
27.62% |
26.14% |
|
EVR |
28.50% |
53.50% |
| Grand Total |
|
26.04% |
14.35% |
On the opposite spectrum, high yield stocks dropped 18.7%. Largest decline from this group was H&R Block (HRB) which fell 30.3% in one year. At the time of the list publication, their dividend yield was 4.3%. The stock fell as much as 50% at March 2020 low but fail gain ground. Revenue fell roughly 15% from prior year but expense rose 3%. Free cash flow went from 511,048 in 2019 to 27,276 in 2020 (-95%).
| Date |
Symbol |
Yield |
% Change |
| 1/24/2020 |
CNP |
4.35% |
-19.0% |
|
EPD |
6.51% |
-21.2% |
|
HRB |
4.34% |
-30.3% |
|
IBM |
4.61% |
-15.6% |
|
UVV |
5.78% |
-7.4% |
| Grand Total |
|
5.12% |
-18.7% |
U.S. Dividend Watch List: January 22, 2021
With the market rising week after week, there are few companies trading near their yearly low. Because of that, we’ve broaden the range from 10% of the low to 20%. Below is the first watch list for this year. Continue reading →