Previous Year Performance Review
In our ongoing review of the NLO Dividend Watch List, we have taken the top five stocks on our list from January 20, 2017 and have checked their performance one year later. The top five companies on that list can be seen in the table below.
| Symbol |
Name |
2015 Price |
2016 Price |
% change |
| TGT |
Target Corp. |
64.10 |
78.10 |
21.8% |
| VFC |
VF Corp. |
51.85 |
79.79 |
53.9% |
| BF-B |
Brown-Forman Corp. CL 'B' |
45.02 |
67.50 |
49.9% |
| KIM |
Kimco Realty Corp. |
25.15 |
16.41 |
-34.8% |
| KO |
Coca-Cola Co |
41.32 |
47.16 |
14.1% |
| |
|
|
Average |
21.0% |
| |
|
|
|
|
| DJI |
Dow Jones Industrial |
19,827.25 |
26,071.72 |
31.5% |
| SPX |
S&P 500 |
2,271.31 |
2,810.30 |
23.7% |
While the average gain of the top five companies was exceptional in our view, the gain of +21% fall short of the S&P 500 gain of +23.70% gain and +31.50% gain of the Dow. The best performer was VF Corp (VFC). Because the company appeared on our list and seemed attractive to us on a fundamental basis, we took a long position.
Target (TGT) gained +21.80% over the course of the last year. We thought that the stock was attractive as negative news seemed to come out on a daily basis. A buyer of Target would have received 3.70% in dividends in addition to the price appreciation.
Looking back, it is clear that we missed an opportunity in Brown-Forman (BF-B), the maker of Jack Daniel's. Typically we find that companies with strong brands and legacy assets to be attractive and we missed our mark with Brown-Forman. There were likely multiple factors which led us to ignore this company. However, our valuation model, based on the fundamentals, suggested that BF-B shares should be considered at or below the $45 level. Is there a lesson we can take away from this? We would say that, if and when a company with strong brands appear on our list, do not ignore them and consider doing the initial research.
U.S. Dividend Watch List: January 19, 2018
The list of 33 companies below represents have strong dividend track records. Not all companies on the list are at good values, they have fallen from their highs which we think is a good starting point to identifying potential long-term investments. Continue reading →