Category Archives: Dividend Achiever Watch List

Prior Year Watch List Review (June 14, 2019)

The best performing strategy from last year was high P/B which fell 7% for the year. This was driven by a gain of 12.3% for Kellogg (K) and 11.5% gain for W.W. Grainger (GWW). However, that gain was offset by a loss of -46% from Nordstrom (JWN). Chasing high yield companies was detrimental with Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), which at the time yield 12.30%, as it lost -76% in a year. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) with yield of 5.80% lost -62%.

U.S. Dividend Watch List Jun 12, 2020

This market swing from March low pushed many companies above 10% of the low and leaving us with only 5 companies on our dividend watch list despite broadening our criteria to include negative payout ratio. Continue reading →

Prior Year Watch List Review (May 24, 2019)

The best performing strategy from last year was high P/B which came in virtually flat for the year. This was driven by a rise of +40% for Jack Henry & Associates (JKHY). However, that gain was offset by a loss of -53% from Nordstrom (JWN). Chasing high yield companies was detrimental with Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), which at the time yield 12.30%, as it lost -82% in a year. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) with yield of 5.80% lost -74%.

U.S. Dividend Watch List May 22, 2020

Since the low in March 2020, the market appears to be consolidating between 2,800 and 3,000. Interestingly, the Nasdaq is only 5.50% from the high and is in the black YTD. Obviously tech appears to be the winner during this interesting period and we are seeing some companies making new highs. Below are companies that are still trading near the low. Continue reading →

Prior Year Watch List Review (May 10, 2019)

The best performing strategy from last year was low yield. While the S&P 500 rose +1.70%, the Dow lost -6.20%. Companies with low yield such as Rollins (ROL) and Becton Dickinson (BDX) rose +16% and +13%, respectively.

Interestingly, the high yield strategy would have set you back -41% with the majority of the losses driven from Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and Gap (GPS) which lost -73% and -67%, respectively.

U.S. Dividend Watch List May 8, 2020

What a strange time we are living in. The unemployment rate skyrocketed to level no one had seen before.

Meanwhile, the market continued to crawl its way back, with the major indexes such as the S&P 500 hitting positive territory since last year. It’s difficult to determine if this rebound is for real but we continued to ask the question, is this situation more dire than the financial crisis where the market fell more than -50%?

Below are 10 companies on our watch list. Continue reading →

The bounce from the low was fast and furious and pushed many companies out of the 52 week low range. There are only a handful of companies this week but it’s worth revisiting companies on the April 3rd list as a good alternative.

Before we jump into this week’s list, let’s review the performance from last year. The best performing strategy was buying companies with low payout ratio. Two companies that came through was AmerisourceBergen (ABC) and Kroger (KR) both gaining more than 20%. Worse performing strategy was purchasing low P/E, a classic value investing strategy. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and GAP (GPS) lost 78% and 68% respectively.

Disclaimer On our current list, we excluded companies that have no earnings. Stocks that appear on our watch lists are not recommendations to buy. Instead, they are the starting point for doing your research and determining the best company to buy. Ideally, a stock that is purchased from this list is done after a considerable decline in the price and extensive due diligence. Our view is to embrace the worse case scenario prior to investing. It is important to place these companies on your own watch list so that when the opportunity arises, you can purchase them with a greater margin of safety. It is our expectation that, at the most, only 1/3 of the companies that are part of our list will outperform the market over a one-year period.

Volatility continue to drive the market up and down as uncertainty continues to unfold both here and abroad.

Experts expect April to be the worse month and expect to see a peak in new coronavirus cases mid-April. At this moment, we think that market is looking for any reason to put up a good rally so any good news will likely drive the market higher.

It’s important to read how the market reacts to the up days. Our team continue to produce the dividend watch list and urge any income investors to utilize this list wisely but also apply caution as our team expects dividend cut to hit companies with high payout ratio (>75%). Continue reading →

Could things get any worse after a horrendous week? We certainly hope the curve for COVID-19 will flatten soon but only time can tell.

The S&P 500 has broken below the 2018 low at a record setting pace and has fallen -32% from the peak.

If you think that this situation is worse than the financial crisis then we probably have more room on the downside as the market fell more than -50% in 2008.

If you have the stomach to ride this out and want to pick the bottom, there are plenty of companies on our watch list this week. Continue reading →

Prior Year Watch List Review (March 1, 2019)

The best performing strategy this week was buying low P/B companies. The best performer was Quaint Oak Bankcorp (QNTO) which rose +20.00% in a year. Even through this sell off, shares barely moved. The worst performing strategy was high P/E with Nucor (NUE) dropping nearly -60.00% in a year. Below is a summary of the performance by various strategies.

U.S. Dividend Watch List February 29, 2020

It was a bloodbath last week as the market sold off. Would this be a buying opportunity? Only time will tell but here is a list of companies on our watch list. Continue reading →

Prior Year Watch List Review (February 14, 2019)

The best strategy to adopt was to purchase the top five companies with high P/E. Doing so would yield 23.1% return compare to the market return of 21.8%. Worse performing strategy is to purchase low P/E companies. The largest gain came from Brown-Forman (BF-B) which rose 46%. At the time of trading, P/E for BF-B was 31.6. Below is a recap of various strategy.

U.S. Dividend Watch List February 14, 2020

The market continue to defy gravity and closed the week at another all-time high. Below is a the dividend watch list for this week. Continue reading →

Prior Year Watch List Review (February 1, 2019)

The best strategy was to buying the top five companies with a high P/E ratio which gained +28.40%. The strong performance was driven by Brown-Forman (BF-B) and Aqua America (WTR) gaining +42.00% and +50.00%, respectively. Compare that to S&P 500 which gained +19.20% and Dow Jones Industrial Average gained of +12.70%. Purchasing top five stocks nearest to the low or low P/E stocks would net you negative returns in the last year.

U.S. Dividend Watch List January 31, 2020

It was a tough week for the market with all indexes retracting. One could attribute that to the Coronavirus outbreak that originated in China or perhaps the market is over-extended. We're less concern about the reason and simply looking forward to the opportunities to accumulate shares at a discount. Below is the watch list for this week. Continue reading →

It was a volatile week for the market as fear of virus outbreak hit the market. The VIX which measure volatility in the market rose nearly 30%. However, the big picture remain bullish for the market. The S&P 500 remain far from the medium and long term trend and our watch list contain 31 companies. Continue reading →

U.S. Dividend Watch List: January 3, 2020

Before we progress with the current watch list, let’s review how things panned out from last year’s list. The average return was +17.20% while the stock market rose +24.70%.

The best strategy, which yielded a return of +30.80%, was to buy the top 5 companies with the highest price-to-book ratio. Buying top 5 companies with low P/E lost -2.70%.

Buying the top 5 companies closest to the low yield generated a return of +22%. Our most recent research has indicated that purchasing the top 5 companies with either high P/E, high P/B, or low dividend yield provides the best chance of beating the market. We’ll continue to keep score going forward and be as transparent to our readers on our findings.

U.S. Dividend Watch List January 17, 2020

With the market at an all-time high, one has to be a little cautious establishing new positions. However, it seems that we have been saying the same thing week after week. Below is the current watch list. Continue reading →

Previous Year Performance Review

In our ongoing review of the NLO Dividend Watch List, we have taken the top five stocks on our list from December 14, 2018 and have checked the performance one year later. The top five companies on that list can be seen in the table below.

The top five companies, comprised mostly of regional banks, average returned was 18.2%.

U.S. Dividend Watch List: December 13, 2019

Another week, another record high for the market. At this moment, all we will be doing is track companies that have reach their yearly low and have a reversing pattern. Until then, we will continue to monitor the market and all our positions and potentially raise cash at the beginning of next year. Below are companies on our watch list this week. Continue reading →