Author Archives: nlo-admin

Dollar Cost Averaging Tool

As long-term investors and holder of equity, we seek the most optimal process to accumulate and build wealth over time. That being said, most of us have finite amounts of time and money. The best thing anyone can do is start early and be consistent with their investment time horizon. We’ve documented the results of this in our Work Smart, Not Hard posting.

Now we will explore Dollar Cost Averaging which is a popular concept of allocating a fixed amount of money over a specific time frame. As an example, one might choose to allocate $100 per month for 5 years or $6,000 total. The power of Dollar Cost Averaging coupled with the power of compounding are apparent in our example below. Let’s assume we start our investment in 1990 and invest $100 per month for 5 years, that $6,000 total invested would have risen to $68,055 by the end of November 2021.

Dollar Cost Average

Our team has created a free excel Dollar Cost Averaging tool here so that you can run your own scenario.

The areas in red boxes are the places where you can change the date, amount invested per year, and the total time invested.  By right clicking inside the chart and selecting "refresh data" in the red circle, you can see the change in the value of the scenario you have constructed.  Here's to a prosperous 2022 and beyond.

Transaction Alert

We executed the following transaction(s):

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Manulife Financial 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Manulife Financial Corp. (MFC.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Algonquin Power & Utilities 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Saputo Inc. 10-Year Targets

Below are the valuation targets for Saputo Inc. (SAP.TO) for the next 10 years. Continue reading

Hang Seng Index: December 2021

Review:

On October 5, 2019, we said the following of the Hang Seng Index:

“By all accounts, the failure of the Hang Seng Index to meaningfully exceed the 23,264.43 level indicates that the range of 24,585.53 to 21,616.14 is a lock.”

Below, we assess the prospects of where the index might be headed. Continue reading

TSX 60 In Review: December 21, 2021

Below is the year-to-date performance of the stocks that constitute the Dogs of the TSX 60, the ten highest yielding stocks.  For contrast, we’ve included the breakdown of the top 5, top 3 and 2nd, 3rd, 4th ranked members of the Toronto Stock Exchange with the lowest dividend yield for a sense of perspective.

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The top ten groupings are beating the Toronto Stock Exchange by a wide margin.  This is the stated goal of the strategy, “to beat the index.”

Below is our breakdown of the performance of the Top Ten Low Yield Stocks as compared to the index: Continue reading

Packaging Corp. of America Price Momentum

Below is a chart of the Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) from 2002 to 2021, reflecting Price Momentum data.

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U.S. Dividend Watch List: December 10, 2021

The market closed the week on a high note as S&P 500 reached all-time high while the Dow is not far out from that mark. Despite that, we observed more companies trading near their yearly low. Below are list of 51 companies on our list this week. Continue reading

HDFC Bank Limited Price Momentum

Below is a chart of the HDFC Bank Limited from 2002 to 2021, reflecting Price Momentum data.

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S&P 500 Equal Weight Price Momentum

Below is a chart of the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) from 2004 to 2021, reflecting Price Momentum data.

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Natural Gas Price Momentum

Below is a chart of Natural Gas from 2002 to 2021, reflecting Price Momentum data.

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YTD Penultimate Profit Prospect

Review

  • In our January 12, 2020 (opened to non-subscribers) posting, based on the data, the Penultimate Profit Prospect was Pfizer (PFE).  Our alternate stock was Nike (NKE).  For the year 2020, Nike gained +39% while Pfizer lost –0.98% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained +7%.
  • In our January 2, 2021 (opened to non-subscribers) posting, based on the data, the Penultimate Profit Prospect was Cisco Systems (CSCO).  Our alternate stock was Apple Inc. (AAPL).

Year-to-Date Performance

So far, the Penultimate Profit Prospect (CSCO) has gained +27.44%.  In the same period of time, our alternate (AAPL) has gained approximately +25% while the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained roughly +18%.

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1997-2021: Margin Debit/Credit

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It appears that the market for margin debt is moderating.  Still unclear is the pattern of Debit to peak in March 2000, June 2007, and March 2021.  The pattern so far is to collapse into a market low.  The distinction in 2000 and 2007 is that there were several years of market increases leading up to each peak.  We suspect the current peak is a result of the pandemic.  It is possible that the Credit indication is more reliable for correlations with the stock market.

Visa Price Momentum

Below is a chart of Visa Inc. (V) from 2009 to 2021, reflecting Price Momentum data.

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