Category Archives: Analyst Estimate

Insurance Watch List: September 2017

Below is the insurance watch list for the month of September 2017.  In additions, we have included the analyst one year estimated returns and a review of watch list stock.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List: August 2017

Performance Review

Below is the performance of the stocks on our watch list from January 25, 2017.

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So far, the analysts haven’t fared well in their estimates. Stocks on the left side of the spectrum were expected to decline while those on the right were expected to do very well.  Click on the chart to see what the analyst thought in January 2017. In the same period of time, the Nasdaq 100 has gained +17.26%.

Canadian Dividend Watch List: August 2017

Performance Review

In the chart below, highlighted in blue, are the analyst’s 2016 estimated percentage changes for what the respective stock was expected to do.   In red, we see what the actual outcome was for the stock in the past year.

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Overall, we believe that the analysts covering the stocks on our watch list from last year did relatively well. The three stocks expected to underperform were on target.  Only two of the ten stocks expected to increase failed to register on the positive side of the column.

Canadian Dividend Watch List: July 2017

Performance Review

The Canadian Dividend Watch List from July 2016 gained an equal weighted average of +6.56%.  This is contrasted by the Toronto Stock Exchange gain of +4.65% in the same period of time.  The top performing stock was Cogeco Inc. (CGO.TO) with a gain of +50.94%.  The worst performing stock was Cominar REIT (CUF-UN.TO) with a decline of –23.17%.

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Nasdaq 100 Watch List: June 2017

Performance Review

On June 21, 2016, we provided downside targets for WD-40 Co. (WDFC) based on the work of Edson Gould.  At the time, we said the following of the stock:

“The assumption by many momentum investors is that WDFC will continue to rise further.  However, prior experience suggests that a parabolic rises usually end in a breakdown in the price.”

Since the 2016 posting, three weeks later, WDFC managed to increased from $114 to $122 on a closing basis.  However, since the July 11, 2016 high, the price of WDFC has meandered as low as $110.  Considering that the stock is putting up so much resistance to decline after a clear parabolic peak, there may be more life in this stock than we thought.

From a standpoint of investment safety, WDFC would be an ideal consideration at or near the $72.49 conservative downside target as indicated in the chart below.

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