New Low Team Beats NBER to the Punch

 The New Low Observer (NLO) team has done it again on the economy, stock market and our “guess” of when the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) would declare the end of the recession that began in October of 2007.


First and foremost, the NLO team announced on July 24, 2009 (the initiation of the NLO site) that Dow Theory had indicated that we were definitely in a cyclical bull market. This ignores our article on February 11, 2009 titled “Convergence of Extraordinary Forces” that indicated that there would be a bottom in the market around June 2009. According to Dow Theory, a bottom in the stock market implies a trough in the economy as well.


Second, on August 22, 2009, the NLO team indicated that based on the Industrial Production Index (IPI) and the Dow Theory bull market indication the stock market and the economy were headed high.


Finally, along with our call to the end of the recession on August 22, 2009, we predicted that the NBER would “…proclaim June 2009 as the official end to the recession.” The headline out of the NBER today, September 20, 2010, is that “…a trough in business activity occurred in the U.S. economy in June 2009.”


Some of the articles can be verified with the postings on Seeking; which we cannot alter once published. Just look at the approximate date that the article was published since Seeking Alpha does not publish exactly when submitted.


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